Economic

Disclaimer and thanks to reviewersv1.0 of the Econ Scenario Explorer, September 2026 The economic scenario explorer is currently Version 1.0. Like every model, it is a stark simplification of a complex reality: it isolates a few key forces and omits … Read more

As part of getting to grips with the new world of agentic engineering, I built an application to support my work. It’s a sophisticated app: high-quality web UI with dynamic refresh and look-up, modals and auto-save, integrations to external systems, … Read more

Today I want to start with a comment by a colleague, Texas antitrust lawyer Basel Musharbash, observing a restaurant trying to do a renovation in Dallas. “Something funky is happening in the building materials supply chain,” he wrote . “A … Read more

Good news on the fight against climate change can be hard to find. Targets are missed, promises are broken and the planet gets hotter. But as worthies from across the world meet in Sharm el-Sheikh for the latest un conference … Read more

Conservative mps’ half-hearted vote to endorse Boris Johnson as prime minister, on June 6th, betrayed how deeply Britain’s ruling party fails to confront hard choices. A defeat for Mr Johnson would have ushered in a new government, with a chance … Read more

Tuesday, March 8, 2022 1:00 PM – 2:30 PM Online Book launch and Panel Discussion for The Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War, by Nicholas Mulder Panelists: Victoria de Grazia, Columbia University, Nicholas Mulder, Cornell University, Quinn … Read more

Our economic model is based on that in ref. 8 and calibrated to current US data. In the model, individuals make choices about consumption, hours worked and leisure based on wage rates, interest rates, retirement age, and knowledge of remaining … Read more